I was familiar with the phenomena of two (or more) different people making the same scientific discovery around the same time. I wasn’t familiar with the name though. A handy thing to refer to.
August 26, 2013
EconLog has had good guest bloggers. Eric Crampton did it at one time, he can now be found at Offsetting Behaviour. David Henderson was supposed to be a guest but became permanent, and while his content tends to rather generic libertarianism (with perhaps some extra emphasis on pacifism and the rare detour into monetarism) I’m glad of his presence due to the store of anecdotes he’s accumulated in his time, and his thoroughgoing Canadian niceness which contrasted with bitter former co-blogger Arnold Kling (and fellow Canuck Steve Williamson come to think of it). Garrett Jones was one of those people on Twitter who needed to start a regular blog, and had some good stuff, but I was disappointed that he often brought up Real Business Cycle stories when he himself had earlier explained how RBC no longer fits the “stylized facts” of the economy. More recently Alberto Mingardi and Art Carden joined, with both mostly serving up generic libertarianism without necessarily much economic content. Distributed Republic is no more (when trying to read an old post I got an exceeded bandwidth notice, not sure if anything changed to cause that), but I’m sure there are plenty of other generic libertarian sites they could contribute to. As it is they don’t seem to be part of the same econblog “conversation” I expect from the site. It’s almost enough to make me miss Kling, since his fondness for persisting in views he knew to have negligible supporting evidence at least got him in some arguments with other bloggers. Almost.
August 21, 2013
Gene Callahan regards that story as largely mythical. Those knowledgeable about the past are invited to toss in their two cents.
August 12, 2013
This isn’t “frequency illusion” because my subjective frequency is unchanged, but the “Baader-Meinhof phenomenon” is likely making this diavlog on the psychology of optimistic bias more salient. That’s because I was reading a bit of Daniel Kahneman’s “Thinking Fast & Slow” yesterday concerning how good & bad moods affect System 1 vs System 2 thinking. The actual segment of the diavlog I linked to is titled “The optimal level of optimism”, but (as is made clear by the participants) that level is not “optimal” for accuracy. The depressed are known to be more accurate (this is called “depressive realism”) except in regard to the persistence of their depression. Tali Sharot claims in the link that the severely depressed are also less accurate, and that the mildly depressed are most accurate.
On the other hand, while searching on Overcoming Bias for support regarding “depressive realism” I came across this old post casting doubt on the concept.
On an unrelated note, Kahneman made a big deal out of priming in the book, beginning with the experiment where the word “Florida” causes people to walk slower (though he mentions later that those who dislike the elderly can react in the opposite way). He even says “You have no choice but to believe that you react this way”. So kudos to Kahneman that he has been so adamant about the need to replicate the priming studies in the wake of some failures to do so.
August 5, 2013
June 12, 2013
Steve Sailer referenced some of the controversies (aside from writing racy novels) Father Andrew Greeley was involved in, but didn’t give too many details. Casey Mulligan was more interested in Greeley’s legacy in social science such as helping to initiate the General Social Survey (for which, as you might guess, I am very grateful) but he did link to a very interesting piece on Greeley’s machinations (themselves the result of manipulation) to oust (and at minimum stymie the ascent of) Cardinal John Patrick Cody.
June 3, 2013
May 1, 2013
April 7, 2013
I asked Dalliard at Human Varieties about how “real” the Big Five personality factors were and he responded linking to a paper looking at the “facets” or sub-components of those factors. I thought folks might be curious what those facets are, so here goes.
Social confidence versus anxiety
Trustfulness versus cynicism
Compassion versus sensitivity
Humility versus arrogance
Self-discipline versus distractability
Idealism versus conformity
April 2, 2013
It wasn’t that long ago that I last did a post on this subject, and then discussed it with Karl Zimmerman in the GNXP Discover comments. Some more interesting studies on the subject are pointed out at the Freakonomics blog, inspired by Ray Fisman & Tim Sullivan’s book “The Org”. Hat tip to Tyler Cowen. Those interested in that book might want to check out some relevant posts at OrgTheory.
April 2, 2013
And I’m about half a year late in noticing. I guess that means I won’t have to keep any material duplicated here from there, but I’m too lazy to remove anything and don’t see the utility in doing so.
April 1, 2013
March 29, 2013
As of today.
I was going to say that’s the first time a blogger I read a significant amount from has died, but then I remembered Lee Sigelman of the Monkey Cage. I don’t expect many fans of Auster are also fans of Sigelman, but those who haven’t heard of Lee may enjoy The Hobbesian World of Democrats.
March 28, 2013
March 14, 2013
Lot’s of people have heard of that study predicting traits by Facebook “likes”. I saw a reference to the mypersonality.org url, which then directed me to where you can be analyzed at youarewhatyoulike.com. It says I am:
Liberal and artistic rather than conservative and traditional
Spontaneous and flexible versus well-organized
Shy and reserved rather than outgoing and active
Assertive and competitive rather than warm, trusting and cooperative
Calm and relaxed as opposed to stressed
The “likes” they considered most indicative were Dirty Rotten Imbeciles, Electric Wizard, Pelican and Motörhead (all of them bands). They don’t mention it, but the second probably makes them think I use drugs. The only descriptors I’d definitely agree with are “calm and relaxed” and I suppose “shy and reserved” at times. “Liberal and artistic” is probably the wrongest, but it’s true that I’m not well organized either (I don’t think there’s a way to get the descriptor “dislikes any change to their familiar disorganization”). Of course, I can’t even remember when I last “liked” anything on Facebook. About a month or so I saw one of them that I didn’t even recognize and had to wikipedia it, only to find it was a jazz fusion drummer.