Mark Kleiman was asked why European countries have abolished the death penalty while America and Asia continue to use it. His theory was that “a Westminster system gives well-educated civil servants more power, and the well-educated mostly dislike capital punishment”. The second part of that theory seemed testable, so I checked it out in the GSS, running CAPPUN (supporting the death penalty for murderers is coded as 1, opposing it is 2) by EDUC (years of education). First the aggregate statistics.
Summary Statistics | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eta* = | .11 | Gamma = | .02 | Rao-Scott-P: F(20,3820) = | 17.89 | (p= 0.00) | ||
R = | .00 | Tau-b = | .01 | Rao-Scott-LR: F(20,3820) = | 17.19 | (p= 0.00) | ||
Somers’ d* = | .01 | Tau-c = | .01 | Chisq-P(20) = | 498.91 | |||
Chisq-LR(20) = | 479.30 | |||||||
*Row variable treated as the dependent variable. |
Then broken down by years of education.
Frequency Distribution | |||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cells contain: -Column percent |
CAPPUN | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1: FAVOR | 2: OPPOSE | ROW TOTAL |
Means | Std Devs | Unweighted N | ||||||||||||||||||
EDUC | 0 | 57.1 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 1.43 | .50 | 95 | ||||||||||||||||
1 | 57.2 | 42.8 | 100.0 | 1.43 | .51 | 26 | |||||||||||||||||
2 | 63.4 | 36.6 | 100.0 | 1.37 | .48 | 90 | |||||||||||||||||
3 | 47.0 | 53.0 | 100.0 | 1.53 | .50 | 168 | |||||||||||||||||
4 | 60.2 | 39.8 | 100.0 | 1.40 | .49 | 224 | |||||||||||||||||
5 | 56.4 | 43.6 | 100.0 | 1.44 | .50 | 276 | |||||||||||||||||
6 | 63.3 | 36.7 | 100.0 | 1.37 | .48 | 523 | |||||||||||||||||
7 | 68.1 | 31.9 | 100.0 | 1.32 | .47 | 646 | |||||||||||||||||
8 | 73.0 | 27.0 | 100.0 | 1.27 | .44 | 1,926 | |||||||||||||||||
9 | 70.0 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 1.30 | .46 | 1,429 | |||||||||||||||||
10 | 71.6 | 28.4 | 100.0 | 1.28 | .45 | 1,988 | |||||||||||||||||
11 | 71.4 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 1.29 | .45 | 2,576 | |||||||||||||||||
12 | 78.0 | 22.0 | 100.0 | 1.22 | .41 | 13,311 | |||||||||||||||||
13 | 76.2 | 23.8 | 100.0 | 1.24 | .43 | 3,584 | |||||||||||||||||
14 | 75.6 | 24.4 | 100.0 | 1.24 | .43 | 4,546 | |||||||||||||||||
15 | 72.7 | 27.3 | 100.0 | 1.27 | .45 | 1,852 | |||||||||||||||||
16 | 72.0 | 28.0 | 100.0 | 1.28 | .45 | 5,118 | |||||||||||||||||
17 | 69.0 | 31.0 | 100.0 | 1.31 | .46 | 1,239 | |||||||||||||||||
18 | 64.0 | 36.0 | 100.0 | 1.36 | .48 | 1,460 | |||||||||||||||||
19 | 65.2 | 34.8 | 100.0 | 1.35 | .48 | 544 | |||||||||||||||||
20 | 63.0 | 37.0 | 100.0 | 1.37 | .48 | 814 | |||||||||||||||||
COL TOTAL | 73.6 | 26.4 | 100.0 | 1.26 | .44 | 42,435 |
September 12, 2010 at 2:48 pm
“a Westminster system gives well-educated civil servants more power…”
The civil service has more power in the UK than in the US? I think Moldbug (one-man rival to the JBS as chronicler of the crimes of the US permanent government) would disagree.
September 12, 2010 at 5:19 pm
As an American he’s more aware of matters American, though England would be runner-up. And I think he has said that Europe is somehow more “American” than America and that there is less “politics” there, with more left to the permanent bureaucracy (as shown on “Yes, Minister”.
The legal positivist in me quibbles with the use of the term “crime”. Crimes are defined by law, and if the actions of civil servants are sanctioned by law they are not crimes. You may not approve of those actions, but let us distinguish between undesirable and illegal.
September 13, 2010 at 1:00 am
I think he’s probably implying that redneck snakehandlers have some significant amount of power in the US. You know, Philip Roth Syndrome. Silly idea if the source and current capital of hegemonic ultracalvinist neo-bolshevist is the US itself.
September 13, 2010 at 1:05 am
“neo-bolshevist” should be “neo-bolshevism”
September 13, 2010 at 12:51 am
Foul betrayals of your closest allies (Chiang, Diem, etc.) is, in a literary sense of the word at least, a “crime”. What word would Shakespeare use?
September 13, 2010 at 9:33 pm
He usually denies that redneck snakehandlers have power. To him the the “Inner Party” has all the power and the Republicans are a fake opposition.
Mencius actually participated in the comments at n/a’s a while back where (continental) Europe vs America’s guilt was debated.
Worse than a crime, a mistake!
September 15, 2010 at 1:21 pm
Pretty underwhelming correlation since even a majority of gradual school matriculators are in favor. The high school drop outs percentage also match the college graduates. I think you have falsified it.
September 15, 2010 at 9:22 pm
When did your blog become invitation only?
March 17, 2012 at 12:20 am
[…] popular opinion regarding capital punishment. I looked in the GSS and found that he’s wrong about educated people opposing […]